The Schlock Doctrine
The MacDoctor has noted that Cactus Kate is somewhat irritated by the people at the Standard, notably one Marty G. She writes:
““I’m really pissed off that politics has come into the Christchurch earthquake so quickly”. (Quote from Marty G)
“Really? You are having a laff? The whole post titled “The Shock Doctrine” was political and anti-government.”
And
“I call on all centre-right blogs to take these arsewipes head on and debate the issues because they are ALL about politics.”
All in all, I can think of no reason to initiate an earthquake levy, beyond the usual left-wing desire to soak the "rich".
”No problem, Kate. Happy to write about a proper political response to the Christchurch Earthquake.
Let’s start with The Shock Doctrine, the book that Marty G and The Idiot at No Right (At All) Turn cite as evidence of the Evil John Key plan to rule the universe make radical changes to NZ. For those unfamiliar with Canadian Journalist Naomi Klein’s Magnum Opus, the book posits the theory that Milton Freidman and his Neoliberal acolytes have used disasters to advance their radical right wing agendas over the past 30 years. Naturally, the book became part of the left wing canon and was, indeed, the text to quote in lefty circles for a couple of years – until it was superceded by the New American Standard version; otherwise known as The Spirit Level.
Personally, I found Ms Klein’s book annoyingly superficial for such a large tome. Lots of lurid examples and precious little decent analysis. One has the sensation of drowning in anecdotes while being shoehorned into a thesis that is, at best, highly dubious. Ms Klein seems not to have realised that politicians have been using disasters for their own ends since the dawn of time. She also seems not to have noticed that left-wing politicians use disastrous events, real and imagined, in exactly the same way. I await a book entitled the Rise of Disaster Socialism with bated breath.
Perhaps the most obvious flaw in the book, though, is the assumption that everything that “Neoliberals” try is bad and everything that Socialists want to do is good. This is the assumption that underlies Marty G’s following statement:
“I’m really pissed off that politics has come into the Christchurch earthquake so quickly. But make no mistake, the Nats are pursuing a strongly ideological agenda. They’re using the quake as cover for radically cutting important policies and making other extreme decisions, while preserving the tax cuts for the rich. It’s called the Shock Doctrine.”
Leaving aside the hypocrisy of complaining about a political agenda when nearly every post from the Standard since the Quake has been heavily political and critical of government, it seems to have escape Marty G that preserving WFF and Student loans in the face of Christchurch’s pressing need – and that the mantra tax cuts for the rich - are both about as ideological as you go. I confess to being somewhat bemused by the strange insistence that the current duly-elected government should follow the opposition’s ideology, rather than their own. Not only that, but I do not see that National’s suggestions so far can be truly described as radical or extreme. I would have thought subdued is a better description. Real Neoliberals would call it Shlock.
Be that as it may. Let’s take a look at the primary suggestion of Marty and The Idiot – increasing taxes (Oh, what an original idea!).
Firstly, let me say at the outset that I do not buy the “temporary” tag that the “disaster levy” is being marketed with. Apart from the fact that governments, particularly socialist ones, do not like to relinquish taxes once they have acquired them, one has to understand that a disaster of this magnitude requires funds for many, many years (at least 10, in Christchurch’s case). All events of this nature run through three stages:
- Relief/Rescue – Measured in weeks. Consists of emergency aid and services. Relatively cheap and adequately managed with charity and some government aid.
- Recovery/Restructuring – Measured in Months. The return of normal function by working around lost infrastructure. Moderately expensive and mostly financed by insurers.
- Restoration/Rebuilding – Measured in Years. The rebuilding of infrastructure and buildings. Very expensive and almost entirely financed by insurers.
The only reason why a government would consider a levy or a new tax is because it is contemplating becoming involved in the second and third stages of disaster recovery. Unfortunately, one has no real idea where one can safely end this involvement, once begun. Hence the tax is unlikely to be a limited one. Therefore John Key’s concern that the tax may slow the economy is a real one. This is not some once off levy, but a commitment to spend billions of dollars for many years.
Do not mistake me here. I am not suggesting for a moment that the government should not be involved in the rebuilding of Christchurch. I just do not think that the government needs to supply great piles of tax dollars for this purpose. A figure of $15 billion has been bandied about, but the vast majority of this should be coming from insurances – with the lion’s share from the EQC. The priority, therefore, is to restore the EQC fund as quickly as possible. Clearly this should be funded by the EQC levy rather than general taxation.
I am aware that many will not have insurances on their properties. At the risk of sounding harsh, this is NOT the government’s problem. In particular, the government should not become the default insurer for those who forewent insurance. Apart from the precedence this would set, it is manifestly unfair to expect people who have already paid their insurance premiums to not merely pay someone else’s premiums, but to pay for their claims. This would not only undermine the insurance industry, it would mean that people are being coerced into accepting other peoples risk after the fact.
It is already inevitable that the government is going to have to fund the rebuilding of some basic infrastructure in Christchurch. It is unlikely that the Christchurch town council is sufficiently insured for this purpose and it is unreasonable to expect the people of Christchurch to fund this themselves anytime soon. But this does not have to be directly funded out of new taxes. The amount required will almost certainly require nothing more than delaying a couple of motorway projects for a year or so. This should make the Greens happy, once they get over their high dudgeon over not being able to increase taxes.
I have given money towards Christchurch’s need and I will continue to do so. I do not need the government to do this for me. The government would remove my choices of how often and how much I may give and my choice of where and for what I donate. I addition, it will most likely waste at least 3 of every 10 dollars I give in “churn”. All in all, I can think of no reason to initiate an earthquake levy, beyond the usual left-wing desire to soak the “rich”.
And, if that is not pure ideology, then I don’t know what is.
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Mar 3 11 7:16 am
We all want Chch rebuilt, and we want the Cantabs to be sufficiently grateful so that they allow us to leverage the State’s $5 billion to produce the city of *our* dreams. So for some of us that will be a city like Napier.. with a theme, or El Paso with adobe buildings, or a city of high culture and high speed rail or some other idealistic view of Hobbiton or whatever.
Thats “end stage thinking” that involves the State for as long as it takes so that we can visit “our” city of dreams and be waited on by smiling grateful citizens tastefully dressed in blue uniforms.
We have to watch that we don’t extend ourselves much beyond rescue, recovery, cleanup and safety. The city of dreams is for the Cantabs to design and largely pay for.
JC
Mar 3 11 9:15 pm
Agreed. No-one seems to have spotted the fact that Christchurch will almost certainly be lower and smaller than it was. Lower – because people are reluctant to build high following such an earthquake. Smaller – because a large number will leave Christchurch and not return.
Mar 3 11 10:05 pm
Na, most of them have gone to Timaru – they’ll be back.
scrubone´s last [type] ..Maybe they had a bulldozer
Mar 3 11 8:53 am
“I await a book entitled the ‘Rise of Disaster Socialism’…”
Robert Higgs has already written it. It’s called ‘Crisis and Leviathan.’
You may now un-bate your breath.
Mar 3 11 9:12 pm
Breath unbated. Will find a copy as soon as I get through the 37 books I have bought that are still waiting to be read…
Mrs. MacDoctor says she will bring great harm to me should I purchase any more books prior to reading the backlog…
Mar 3 11 9:50 am
I think Key has gone out of his way to avoid the perception that National will “repeat the 90′s”, by cutting back programs in order to balance the budget.
That has blunted the left’s long term tatic of screaming that accusation at any available opportunity.
But this stuff just got real. We have to get into the real world ,and quickly, if we’re going to have any hope of getting out of this crisis. The previous government put in place some extremely expensive policies for dubious overall benefit. Were these removed earlier, we wouldn’t have had such a high debt level now. Well, now something’s got to be done about it because one thing’s for sure – we can’t take on more debt.
scrubone´s last [type] ..Maybe they had a bulldozer
Mar 3 11 11:03 am
I concur, Mac. Have added my 2c worth here:
http://thenzhomeoffice.blogspot.com/2011/03/trotter-apologises-for-left.html
XChequer´s last [type] ..Trotter Apologises for the Left
Mar 3 11 11:20 am
The Shock Doctrine, … Evil John Key plan to rule the universe make radical changes to NZ.
If only! If only!! John, Bill & Gerry actually have an enabling act. They could legally end the benefit system, end all forms of welfare in NZ (not just WFF and student loans, but the whole lot!) and get the government out of the business of schools, hospitals etc overnight – or at least over the weekend. Will they? Hell no!
We all want Chch rebuilt,
Do we? Does anyone at all think the NZ can possibly afford anything like “rebuilding Canterbury”.
Oh and no: lots and lots isn’t covered by insurance: notably all local government and central goverment buildings and infrastructure are “self-insured”. Great. It’s Billions, many Billions, that NZ simply doesn’t have.
You could (and most certainly should) empty the Cullen fund, sell all the power companies and Air NZ, scrap KiwiRail, half civil servant pay rates and you’d still not even make a dent in it
It will be far more efficient to build some quick tract suburbs in South & West Auckland, and to build new infrastructure there, than it ever will be to rebuild Christchurch.
NZ likes to think it’s a first-world country but it has had the economy of a third-world country for the last 15 years (ever since Ruth tried and was stopped getting things back on track).
We simply cannot afford it.
Mar 3 11 9:25 pm
I think you are a brave person to suggest not rebuilding Christchurch. As I have said above, I think it will be a smaller, more compact city. I think the government (i.e. Me, the taxpayer) will wind up footing the bill for restoring basic services. It should strongly resist footing the bill for new grandiose municipal buildings.
This would also be a perfect opportunity to privatise as many council services as possible, to spread the cost of the rebuild of government utilities into the private sector. This would provide a much better boost to the economy than the government footing the bill alone (and taxing us to death to do it).
Mar 4 11 8:19 am
The thing is, Chch is still growing, 4.3% at the last census and its GDP is equal to the whole of the earthquake costs and rebuild.
The beast may be wounded but its quite capable of healing itself and growing again. All we need do is give it a helping hand.
JC